Being a Danish football fan, FC Copenhagen season ticket holder and occasional blogger I should have been excited, right? And after the win I should be even more excited, right? Wrong.
Brøndby IF is not a force to be reckoned with in the top of Danish football any more. Years of mismanagement combined with entirely unrealistic ambitions have left them with the role of an unintentional entertainment factor. In different circumstances thee, maybe four, of their players would have a chance on the FC Copenhagen rooster. I didn't bother watching the hours of TV warm-up this time. I hadn't met up with a bunch of friends to shout at the screen - let alone traveled to the windy, suburban stadium, now a place enjoyable by hooligans alone. I opened a Carlsberg from my couch fully expecting the win and not even worrying too much about the consequences of the low risk of a draw or loss.
In fact, I bet 5 Danish kroner (I don't bet a lot) on 0-2:
Spot on - but unfortunately combined with a 2-2 outcome of FC Nordsjælland vs Randers FC which ended 1-1.I didn't bother watching yesterday's SønderjyskE vs OB which ended as a surprise 2-0 win for the relegation threatened south Jutland team over our pursuing OB. Because OB would need to practically win the rest of their games anyway and sooner or later that would slip for them, I didn't doubt. It did happen a bit soon, though. Now OB need to win their last three games to get to the 62 points we're at already. That happening combined with us losing our three games and OB overcoming a +25 goal score difference... well, it's not happening. (My model says ~0.0186% before taking the goal difference into account.)
The real entertainment these days is in watching Brøndby fans and players babble on TV and reading the Brøndby IF inclined journalists rant on and on about how Brøndby was the better team for parts of the game, how a bronze medal is still possible despite their unlucky start of the season, how the club emanates a unique team spirit and has supporters of supernatural abilities. And in trying to get into some European clashes, of course.
A highly unpredictable league is drawing to an end. I'm considering a look at the mildly entertaining and very wrong prophesies made by journalists and experts at season start and half-time one of these days. But for now, I'll just dump some tendencies for the remaining games:
05-05-2010
Randers FC-AaB 0.311 0.289 0.4
FC Midtjylland-Brøndby IF 0.427 0.191 0.382
FC København-HB Køge 0.678 0.178 0.144
06-05-2010
Esbjerg fB-Silkeborg 0.404 0.281 0.3145
AGF-SønderjyskE 0.356 0.311 0.333
OB-FC Nordsjælland 0.456 0.222 0.322
09-05-2010
Brøndby IF-AaB 0.352 0.264 0.385
HB Køge-FC Midtjylland 0.278 0.178 0.544
Silkeborg-FC København 0.289 0.2 0.511
SønderjyskE-Esbjerg fB 0.308 0.286 0.407
FC Nordsjælland-AGF 0.422 0.222 0.356
OB-Randers FC 0.456 0.311 0.233
16-05-2010
Randers FC-Brøndby IF 0.326 0.258 0.416
AGF-OB 0.267 0.289 0.444
FC Midtjylland-Silkeborg 0.433 0.211 0.356
AaB-HB Køge 0.578 0.233 0.189
Esbjerg fB-FC Nordsjælland 0.416 0.247 0.337
FC København-SønderjyskE 0.544 0.233 0.222
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