Friday, July 15, 2011

Pre-season analysis: Superliga squad values and chances graphed

Alright, season starts tomorrow. Here is a chart of approximate squad transfer values (blue columns, from transfermarkt.de), championship winning chances (red connected dots, from betbrain.com) and relegation risks (orange connected dots, from betbrain.com).



Since the above interactive graph will change if sources change, here is a screenshot taken on publishing day:

Monday, May 30, 2011

Danish Superliga 2010/11: final standings analysis, championship videos (updated)

Final standings w/significance marked

#
ClubWDLGFGACSNG
1FC København25****6*2****77****29****13***2**
2OB16710554196
3Brøndby IF13128523985
4FC Midtjylland1310105042116
5Silkeborg101310434967
6FC Nordsjælland109143850711
7SønderjyskE116*163246812
8Lyngby10815425296
9AC Horsens9101429401115**
10AaB811143848814*
11Randers FC616***114148810
12Esbjerg fB7121436495**9

Yellow + red cards
Brøndby IF 49*
Silkeborg 48
SønderjyskE46
OB46
Randers FC44
FC Midtjylland43
AC Horsens42
AaB42
FC Nordsjælland42
Lyngby40
Esbjerg35*
FC København30****

Evaluation of winter break graphical league table
Actual finishing points marked with green crosses. It appears the guesstimates were pretty good!
Beach ball tifo

Championship celebrations


Handicap league table
FC København would have won the championship even if each game had begun with a free goal for the opponent, a 0-1 handicap in each match!
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+ 
| # | Club | M | W | D | L | P | Score | 
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+ 
| 1 | København | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 77-62 | 
| 2 | OB | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 56 | 58-41 | 
| 3 | Brøndby | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 55-39 | 
| 4 | Midtjylland | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 53-42 | 
| 5 | Silkeborg | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 46-49 | 
| 6 | SønderjyskE | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 35-46 | 
| 7 | Lyngby | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 45-52 | 
| 8 | Horsens | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 32-40 | 
| 9 | Nordsjælland | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41-50 | 
| 10 | AaB | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 41-48 | 
| 11 | Esbjerg | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 39-49 | 
| 12 | Randers | 33 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 35 | 44-48 | 
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+
(This magnificent statistic is done by ougar.)

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Copenhagen Files

I love football and I love the Internet. Copenhagen Files is a playground of mine for the latter and a billboard of the former. The focus is on FC København - the #1 club in Copenhagen and Denmark.

I watch every single FC København game - aways usually on the Danish TV, home games currently from my season ticket seat at Parken Stadium. Every now and then a report from the nearby training pitches are to be expected. Or perhaps just from the supporter environment at local parks or bars ;-)

I also like to bet on games which usually takes place online these days. Therefore, I gather numbers and look at them; I analyze, twist, turn and play with them. And some of them ends up here as my probability assessments. But this blog is not about betting.

In the right hand column I collect every single relevant link you can think of. I actually use it for bookmarks often - perhaps they will prove handy to you too? They should easily guide you to the latest info on injuries, club economy, squad value etc.
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