Probabilities of number of final points for each team. Note: The graph could imply 5^4 = 625 outcomes. Of course there is only 3^4 = 81. Meaning each of four games have three different possible outcomes.
And a quick assessment of each team's probablity of winning the group and ending up second place.
- Manchester United 86%/8%
- Celtic 9%/46%
- Benfica 4%/34%
- FC København 1%/13%
Who ends up third place will be exciting.
What are people saying? Billy McNeill has spoken on Celtics chances:
vitalfootball.co.uk / McNeill backs Celtic's Euro bid
"I still think Celtic have a very good chance of progressing. If you had said at the start they would have had six points by this stage you would have been happy. Celtic know they'll get no favours from Sir Alex. United will feel they have to come here and take something but my old club rise to the challenge on nights like these. It was disappointing to see them lose against Benfica but the big blow came when Copenhagen beat Manchester United."
stv.tv / McNeill hopeful Rangers can reach UEFA Cup final
I still think Celtic have a great chance. At the start of the league you'd have been happy with Celtic having six points at this stage. It will be difficult as Manchester United are a magnificent team and FC Copenhagen away will be tough. It will be difficult but not impossible for Celtic and I think they'll get enough points. The fans can play their part as they were magnificent against Benfica and the team will respond to that.
Appears to be the same interview, just different journalists typing. BBC got it and there's yet another one at teamtalk.com / Gers can reach Euro final - McNeill.
Finally, the Benfica vs København match background article is ready at UEFA.com.