Copenhagen Files: 2011

Friday, July 15, 2011

Pre-season analysis: Superliga squad values and chances graphed

Alright, season starts tomorrow. Here is a chart of approximate squad transfer values (blue columns, from transfermarkt.de), championship winning chances (red connected dots, from betbrain.com) and relegation risks (orange connected dots, from betbrain.com).

Since the above interactive graph will change if sources change, here is a screenshot taken on publishing day:

Monday, May 30, 2011

Danish Superliga 2010/11: final standings analysis, championship videos (updated)

Final standings w/significance marked

#	Club	W	D	L	GF	GA	CS	NG
1	FC København	25****	6*	2****	77****	29****	13***	2**
2	OB	16	7	10	55	41	9	6
3	Brøndby IF	13	12	8	52	39	8	5
4	FC Midtjylland	13	10	10	50	42	11	6
5	Silkeborg	10	13	10	43	49	6	7
6	FC Nordsjælland	10	9	14	38	50	7	11
7	SønderjyskE	11	6*	16	32	46	8	12
8	Lyngby	10	8	15	42	52	9	6
9	AC Horsens	9	10	14	29	40	11	15**
10	AaB	8	11	14	38	48	8	14*
11	Randers FC	6	16***	11	41	48	8	10
12	Esbjerg fB	7	12	14	36	49	5**	9

Yellow + red cards

Brøndby IF	49*
Silkeborg	48
SønderjyskE	46
OB	46
Randers FC	44
FC Midtjylland	43
AC Horsens	42
AaB	42
FC Nordsjælland	42
Lyngby	40
Esbjerg	35*
FC København	30****

Evaluation of winter break graphical league table

Actual finishing points marked with green crosses. It appears the guesstimates were pretty good!

Beach ball tifo

Championship celebrations

Handicap league table
FC København would have won the championship even if each game had begun with a free goal for the opponent, a 0-1 handicap in each match!
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+
| # | Club | M | W | D | L | P | Score |
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+
| 1 | København | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 77-62 |
| 2 | OB | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 56 | 58-41 |
| 3 | Brøndby | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 55-39 |
| 4 | Midtjylland | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 53-42 |
| 5 | Silkeborg | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 46-49 |
| 6 | SønderjyskE | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 35-46 |
| 7 | Lyngby | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 45-52 |
| 8 | Horsens | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 32-40 |
| 9 | Nordsjælland | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41-50 |
| 10 | AaB | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 41-48 |
| 11 | Esbjerg | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 39-49 |
| 12 | Randers | 33 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 35 | 44-48 |
+-----+--------------+----+----+----+----+----+-------+
(This magnificent statistic is done by ougar.)

Copenhagen Files

I love football and I love the Internet. Copenhagen Files is a playground of mine for the latter and a billboard of the former. The focus is on FC København - the #1 club in Copenhagen and Denmark.

I watch every single FC København game - aways usually on the Danish TV, home games currently from my season ticket seat at Parken Stadium. Every now and then a report from the nearby training pitches are to be expected. Or perhaps just from the supporter environment at local parks or bars ;-)

I also like to bet on games which usually takes place online these days. Therefore, I gather numbers and look at them; I analyze, twist, turn and play with them. And some of them ends up here as my probability assessments. But this blog is not about betting.

In the right hand column I collect every single relevant link you can think of. I actually use it for bookmarks often - perhaps they will prove handy to you too? They should easily guide you to the latest info on injuries, club economy, squad value etc.